He Could Still Lose This Thing

Posted on 07/28/2008 at 3:34 pm by Bob Cesca

Oh crap.

A new USA Today/Gallup poll gives John McCain the lead among likely voters — quite possibly the first poll in a long time to show this — and Obama only a narrow edge among the wider pool of registered voters.

The numbers: Among likely voters, it’s McCain 49%, Obama 45%, with a ±4% margin of error. A month ago, Obama led 50%-44% in this group. Among registered voters it’s Obama 47%, McCain 44%, compared to Obama ahead 48%-42% last month.

Even though this poll is likely an anomaly, it helps to underscore that, regardless of the overwhelming disapproval of the McBush Republicans, Senator Obama, through no real fault of his own, is roughly one Hoo-Sane e-mail, one orange alert and one ridiculous contrarian-left pro-Nader movement away from losing this thing.

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  • JimmyJames

    I no nothing about polls or statistics, but this post at dailykos made me feel a bit beter about this survey:http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/7/28/1610/41863

  • Teaflax

    The Republicans just need it to be close enough for doubt – within 10% or so – and then Diebold can do the rest. They’ve already stolen two elections in a row, nothing indicates that they won’t want to and won’t be able to steal another.The ONLY way Obama wins is by such a landslide that even the crooked voting machines and/or The Supreme Court can’t fix it.And, I don’t see that happening. Man, I hope I’m wrong, though.