Senator Barack Obama

10 Points!

Research 2000:
Obama 51, McCain 41

If this were the popular vote margin on election day, Senator Obama would win in a landslide. And like I wrote the other day, early voting is underway in 24 states, so everything is looking good. But don't get complacent. This could still swing the other way -- and my guess is that we're only a matter of days away from the McCain campaign wheeling out Rev. Wright ads and such.