Bloggers and commenters who heart Hillary are all making hay over SUSA's latest five-point race poll in NC. Okay, first of all, even according to SUSA Obama's still ahead. According to everyone else, he's ahead by double-digits. SUSA also underpolled black voters by 7% points. But even if SUSA is right, it should be pretty obvious that Reverend Wright is hurting Obama.
But Obama's response today should put most of that white fear to rest.
And finally, this excellent analysis by a TPM commenter:
Perhaps I am making overmuch of this, but I note that while SUSA has an excellent track record overall this year, they have been notably poor in their track record down south. The day before the SC primary they were predicting a 13 pt victory for Obama, but as we all know he won by 29 pts. The day before super Tues they were predicting a 2 pt victory for Obama in Alabama, but instead he won by 14 pts and they were predicting an 11 pt victory for Clinton in MO and instead Obama won by less than one percent. By contrast, two days before the election in TX they had Obama up by 1 pt in the primary, when in reality he lost the primary by 3 pts. In other words, with the exception of Texas, they have rather routinely understated Obama's support in the south and by large margins at that. As such, I do not know that it makes a lot of sense to set much stock by this poll.